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The answer to both questions is “we don’t know.” For me, it’s always the answer if I don’t know the answer: what is in President Obama’s pocket right now? Answer: I don’t know.
When you don’t know the answer to something, one route you can take is to go with your gut (or your faith, or whatever), but that doesn’t make your gut instinct right. My gut tells me that Obama has a wallet in his pocket. Does that mean he does have a wallet in his pocket? Of course not. Does it mean he doesn’t have a wallet in his pocket? Of course not. My gut instinct has no baring on what he actually has in his pocket.
Is it possible to live life with “I don’t know” as your answer to big questions? For some people, yes; for others, no. But even for those who can’t stand “I don’t know,” that doesn’t mean their gut instincts are right. It just means they’d rather cling to some answer — even if that answer is wrong — than to no answer. (It also doesn’t mean their answer is wrong. It may be right. It may be wrong. We don’t know.)
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